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Archive for January 24, 2011

The Social Sweep: 2011 Oscar Nominations Predictions

Tomorrow, journalists will swarm the premises of the Kodak Theater early in the morning (Los Angeles time) to catch the short press conference announcing the nominations for the 83th Academy Awards. Oscar pundits will cry foul while the rest of the world casually picks up on the news in passing, and hopefully we will have some pleasant surprises here and there.

Precursor awards have overwhelmingly pointed towards domination by The Social Network, save for the stunning upset pulled by The King’s Speech at yesterday’s Producers Guild Awards. Other films who have some heat heading into the event include Inception, Black Swan, The Fighter and True Grit, but none of them seem to have enough sway to crack the top honors.

Here are my official predictions for the nominations as well as some comments on who I hope and believe should be given a shot at the Oscars. I will be opting out of the Short Form and Best Original Song categories.

*Predicted Winner

BEST MOTION PICTURE

  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • The King’s Speech
  • The Social Network*
  • The Town
  • Toy Story 3
  • Winter’s Bone

Alternate: 127 Hours

Who should be considered: Blue Valentine, Shutter Island, Carlos, Dogtooth, Enter The Void

My gut tells me the Ozark Mountain mystery Winter’s Bone will pull through to edge out Danny Boyle’s 127 Hours for the 10th spot. Big chance I’m totally wrong, but there has to be some real representation for indie film.


BEST DIRECTOR

  • Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan)
  • David O. Russell (The Fighter)
  • Christopher Nolan (Inception)
  • Tom Hooper (The King’s Speech)
  • David Fincher (The Social Network)*

Alternate: Debra Granik (Winter’s Bone)

Who should be considered: Derek Cianfrance (Blue Valentine), Debra Granik (Winter’s Bone), Lisa Cholodenko (The Kids Are All Right), Martin Scorsese (Shutter Island)

Nothing new with my top five for Best Director. Here’s to hoping we get a Winter’s Bone-sized upset over something like The King’s Speech (in my dreams).

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